Weather forecasting and Unpredictability

Ever wondered why whether forecasting is not accurate even with most modern super computers? . Read the paragraphs below..

Suppose that if a variable Y depends only on X , then we can say with that if X changes then Y will also change .

Eg:

Y=m X+ C --> Equation for a stright line

if we consider m and C as a constant, then Y varies linearly with X.

But what about Y with different m and C at different points? Clearly the value of Y is different form point to point.

This is what exactly the problem with weather predictions. There are different variable parameters (like m and C) which might change form point to point and from time to time. This will make the weather prediction difficult simply because by the time we calculated the values of Y based on the parameter values by using a super computer, its value might already have been changed by a lot of other environmental parameters. So the result may not be valid after a certain passage of time.

Because of this problem, even with the most modern super computers weather prediction beyond 7 -8 days is always going to be challenging task.

Conclusion: Don't blame meteorologists for the forecasting accuracy problem, as god loves uncertainty..